{"id":389336,"date":"2024-12-26T14:29:04","date_gmt":"2024-12-26T06:29:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/?p=389336"},"modified":"2024-12-26T14:36:20","modified_gmt":"2024-12-26T06:36:20","slug":"mr-mrs-gao-talk-about-2025-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/mr-mrs-gao-talk-about-2025-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8001\u9ad8\u9810\u8a002025\u300c1\u6708\u30017\u6708\u5927\u707d\u96e3\u300d\u53ef\u80fd\u771f\u7684\u767c\u751f\uff1f\u6703\u649e\u671f\u54ea\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5d29\u76e4\u6642\u523b\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"intro_quote\">2025 \u5e74\u5373\u5c07\u5230\u4f86\uff0c\u77e5\u540d YouTube \u983b\u9053\u300c\u8001\u9ad8\u8207\u5c0f\u8309Mr &amp; Mrs Gao\u300d\u6628\u65e5\u767c\u5e03\u5f71\u7247\uff0c\u76e4\u9ede\u95dc\u65bc 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u9810\u8a00\uff0c\u6307\u660e\u5e74 1 \u6708\u672b\u548c 7 \u6708 5 \u65e5\uff0c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u5927\u707d\u96e3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6b64\u9810\u8a00\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u771f\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u5728\u9019\u5169\u5927\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u4e0a\uff0c\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u91cd\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u5462\uff1f<br \/>\n\uff08\u524d\u60c5\u63d0\u8981\uff1a<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><a style=\"color: #ff6600;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/us-pce-report-released\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7f8e\u570b11\u6708PCE\u6307\u6578\u5168\u9762\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff01\u901a\u81a8\u5df2\u88ab\u63a7\u5236\uff1f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u6599\u660e\u5e74\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d<\/a><\/span>\uff09<br \/>\n\uff08\u80cc\u666f\u88dc\u5145\uff1a<span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><a style=\"color: #ff6600;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/the-next-big-fed-debate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u50b3\u8072\u7b52\uff1aFed\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u6642\u4ee3\u7d50\u675f\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u638c\u63e12025\u964d\u606f\u95dc\u9375<\/a><\/span>\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dropcap \" style=\"background-color: #ffffff; color: #000000; border-color: #ffffff;\">\u77e5<\/span>\u540d YouTube \u983b\u9053\u300c\u8001\u9ad8\u8207\u5c0f\u8309Mr &amp; Mrs Gao\u300d\u6628\u65e5<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=7EVofmoN0K8\">\u767c\u5e03<\/a>\u5f71\u7247\uff0c\u76e4\u9ede\u95dc\u65bc 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u9810\u8a00\uff0c\u63ed\u793a 2025 \u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u707d\u96e3\u7684\u5169\u5927\u95dc\u9375\u6642\u9593\u9ede\uff0c\u5206\u5225\u662f 1 \u6708\u672b\u548c 7 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u6e05\u6668 4 \u9ede 18 \u5206\uff0c\u4ed6\u57fa\u65bc\u591a\u4f4d\u9810\u8a00\u5bb6\u7684\u8996\u89d2\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u767c\u751f\u81ea\u7136\u6216\u4eba\u70ba\u707d\u96e3\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"jeg_video_container jeg_video_content\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"2025\u9810\u8a00\uff0c2025\u5e74\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5169\u500b\u6642\u9593\u9ede1\u6708\u672b\u548c7\u67085\u65e54\u9ede18\u5206 | \u8001\u9ad8\u8207\u5c0f\u8309 Mr &amp; Mrs Gao\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7EVofmoN0K8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>\u8001\u9ad8\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6f2b\u756b\u5bb6\u7adc\u6a39\u8ad2\u66fe\u900f\u904e\u9810\u77e5\u5922\uff0c\u6e96\u78ba\u9810\u6e2c\u591a\u8d77\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4ed6\u81ea 1976 \u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u8a18\u9304\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5922\u5883\uff0c 1999 \u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u6f2b\u756b\u300a\u6211\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u300b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8a18\u8f09\u7684 15 \u500b\u5922\u5883\uff0c\u5df2\u6709 10 \u500b\u6210\u771f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u795e\u6236\u5927\u5730\u9707\u3001\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u3001\u6234\u5b89\u5a1c\u738b\u5983\u4e4b\u6b7b\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7adc\u6a39\u8ad2\u5c01\u7b46\u591a\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u65bc 2021 \u5e74 10 \u6708\u521d\u63a8\u51fa\u63a8\u51fa\u300a\u6211\u770b\u898b\u7684\u672a\u4f86 \u5b8c\u5168\u7248\u300b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7d00\u8f09\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u5922\u5230\u5728 7 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u6e05\u6668 4 \u9ede 18 \u5206\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u53f0\u7063\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u4e09\u89d2\u6d77\u57df\u5c07\u767c\u751f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6d77\u5e95\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u767e\u7c73\u9ad8\u6d77\u562f\uff0c\u5c0d\u5468\u908a\u570b\u5bb6\u9020\u6210\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6253\u64ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\u7adc\u6a39\u8ad2\u5728\u8a72\u4f5c\u54c1\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u6b64\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5728\u8d85\u5927\u6d77\u562f\u4fb5\u8972\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u5c07\u6709\u4e00\u7247\u9678\u5730\u5f9e\u6d77\u5e95\u5347\u8d77\uff0c\u628a\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u53f0\u7063\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u7b49\u5340\u57df\u7684\u9678\u5730\u9023\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8001\u9ad8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u77e5\u540d\u901a\u9748\u9810\u8a00\u5bb6\u5e15\u514b\uff08Craig Hamilton-Parker\uff09\u5247\u66fe\u8b66\u544a\uff0c2025 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u500b\u5371\u96aa\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u4ed6\u900f\u904e\u9059\u8996\u770b\u898b\u65e5\u672c\u4e0a\u7a7a\u51fa\u73fe\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u9ed1\u8272\u8611\u83c7\u96f2\uff0c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u90a3\u7247\u5340\u57df\u5c07\u767c\u751f\u5927\u5730\u9707\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6d77\u5e95\u706b\u5c71\u5927\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u5340\u57df\u885d\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8001\u9ad8\u5728\u5f71\u7247\u4e2d\u9084\u8868\u793a\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u50c5\u9650\u65bc\u81ea\u7136\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6d77\u5e95\u6838\u8a66\u9a57\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u70ba\u56e0\u7d20\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u89f8\u767c\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4ed6\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5f15\u7528\u79d1\u5b78\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u6307 2025 \u5e74\u6b63\u503c\u592a\u967d\u9ed1\u5b50\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u767c\u5f37\u70c8\u7684\u5730\u78c1\u66b4\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u7403\u901a\u8a0a\u7cfb\u7d71\u8207\u96fb\u529b\u8a2d\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u7e3d\u7d93\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u53ef\u80fd\u7b26\u5408\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5f9e\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u89d2\u5ea6\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u9810\u8a00\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8207\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8b8a\u52d5\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u76f8\u543b\u5408\uff0c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u66fe\u5f15\u7206\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u707d\u3001\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u5de8\u5927\u672a\u7206\u5f48\u7684\u65e5\u5713\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u660e\u5e74 1 \u6708\u518d\u5ea6\u6380\u8d77\u6ce2\u703e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u5728 2025 \u5e74 1 \u6708 23 \u65e5\u5230 24 \u65e5\u8209\u884c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u50be\u5411\u9810\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 1 \u6708\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8fd1\u671f\u6709\u901a\u81a8\u9032\u5c55\u505c\u6eef\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u53ef\u80fd\u5c07\u5728 1 \u6708\u66ab\u505c\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u4f7f\u5f97\u65e5\u5713\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u6240\u840e\u7e2e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ea\u8981\u5957\u5229\u7a7a\u9593\u4e00\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74 8 \u6708\u521d\u5c0e\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5d29\u8dcc\u7684\u65e5\u5713\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\u5e73\u5009\u6f6e\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6f14\uff0c\u518d\u5ea6\u885d\u64ca\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u533f\u540d\u5c08\u5bb6\u6b64\u524d\u66fe\u5411\u52d5\u5340<a href=\"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/bank-of-japan-may-gradually-raise-interest-rates-to-1-in-2025\/\">\u8a55\u8ad6<\/a>\uff1a<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c 2025 \u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5347 3 \u78bc\u5230 \uff11\uff05\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6700\u65b0\u9810\u6e2c\u662f\u660e\u5e74\u6703\u964d 2 \u78bc\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u4f86\u56de\u5957\u5229\u5dee\u5c31\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u5c11\u53bb 1.25\uff05\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u660e\u5e74\u5230\u5957\u5229\u5dee\u7e2e\u5c0f\u6703\u8b93\u65e5\u5e63\u501f\u8cb8\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u7f8e\u80a1\u8207\u71b1\u9322\u840e\u7e2e\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u81f3\u65bc 7 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u6642\u9593\u9ede\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u516c\u958b\u5e02\u5834\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08FOMC\uff09\u65bc 2025 \u5e74 7 \u6708 29 \u65e5\u81f3 30 \u65e5\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u6642\u9593\u4e26\u4e0d\u543b\u5408\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u80fd\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d 6 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u81f3 18 \u65e5 FOMC \u6703\u8b70\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u5f8c\u7e8c\u53cd\u61c9\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f80\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u516c\u5e03FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u7684\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4e5f\u901a\u5e38\u5728FOMC \u6703\u8b70\u8209\u8fa6\u5169\u9031\u5230\u4e09\u5468\u5167\u516c\u5e03\u4e0a\u6b21FOMC \u7684\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u8f03\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u82076\u6708\u516c\u5e03FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u7b26\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u660e\u5e74 6 \u6708 FOMC \u6703\u8b70\u5f8c\uff0c\u82e5\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u6c7a\u7b56\u5982\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5be6\u5247\u5728\u6703\u8b70\u4e2d\u6697\u85cf\u9df9\u6d3e\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u50cf\u662f\u5b98\u54e1\u5728\u6703\u4e2d\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e0d\u964d\u606f\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u60b2\u89c0\u3001\u5347\u606f\u6216\u6301\u7e8c\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u51fa\u4e4e\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6599\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u53ef\u6703\u5728\u516c\u5e03\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u6642\u624d\u6703\u7206\u767c\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u91cd\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u4e0d\u5b89\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c 7 \u6708\u521d\u4fbf\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u8cc7\u91d1\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u5f15\u7206\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u8003\u616e\u5230\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\uff0c\u5728\u5341\u4e8c\u6708\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u78bc\u5f8c\u5ba3\u544a2025\u964d\u606f\u6703\u66f4\u9072\u7de9\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u9810\u671f2025\u5e74\u53ea\u6703\u964d\u606f\u5169\u6b21\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u4e00\u500b\u8f03\u5408\u7406\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u671f\u5f85\u662f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5206\u5225\u57282025 \u5e74 6~7\u6708\u300111~12\u6708\u671f\u9593\u5206\u5225\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u78bc\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5728 2025 \u5e74 6~7\u6708\u7684\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u6c7a\u7b56\u975e\u5e38\u95dc\u9375\uff0c\u82e5\u51fa\u73fe\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5f4e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5287\u70c8\u5f71\u97ff\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c40\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #999999;\">\u8072\u660e\uff1a\u9810\u6e2c\u7d14\u5c6c\u5a1b\u6a02\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u592a\u591a\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u50c5\u4f9b\u6574\u7406\u53ef\u80fd\u7b26\u5408\u76f8\u95dc\u6642\u9593\u7684\u7e3d\u7d93\u65b9\u9762\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u5de7\u5408\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u6211\u5011\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u9808\u4fdd\u6301\u5c0d\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u614b\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b66\u60d5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/blocktemponews\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-194701 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/image.blocktempo.com\/2022\/11\/\u52d5\u5340\u5b98\u7db2tg-banner-1116.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"164\" srcset=\"https:\/\/image.blocktempo.com\/2022\/11\/\u52d5\u5340\u5b98\u7db2tg-banner-1116-300x62.png 300w, 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":142,"featured_media":389338,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[836,837],"tags":[6208,14421,8185,3327,4547,1338],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/image.blocktempo.com\/2024\/12\/2025-\u9810\u8a002025-\u5e74\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5169\u500b\u6642\u9593\u9ede-1-\u6708\u672b\u548c-7-\u6708-5-\u65e5-4-\u9ede-18-\u5206-_-\u8001\u9ad8\u8207\u5c0f\u8309-Mr-Mrs-Gao-0-6-screenshot.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/389336"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/142"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=389336"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/389336\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":397873,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/389336\/revisions\/397873"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/389338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=389336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=389336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blocktempo.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=389336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}